Kyrgyzstan’s ‘Roza Revolution’ – Cui Bono, Part 3

Russia and the Kyrgyzstan future - Linked with Frederick William Engdahl – Germany and USA.

Published on, by F. William Engdahl, May 30, 2010.
See also: Part 1: Kyrgyzstan as a Geopolitical Pivot, and Part 2: China and the Kyrgyz geopolitical future.

Continuing with F. William Engdhal’s analysis of what is playing out in this prize region, part two examines China’s geopolitical interest in Kyrgyzstan. Triggering the 2005 Tulip Revolution were, inter alia, the growing economic ties between the two countries, of which Washington disapproved. Today, China’s economic clout remains its strongest weapon in aiming not only to regain a foothold in Kyrgyzstan, crucial for its expansion into Central Asia, but also to offset the destabilising effects of the U.S. military presence in that country and in the region … //

… As friction increases between Afghan President Karzai and the Obama Administration, relations are clearly warming with Karzai and Beijing. On March 24, Hamid Karzai and Chinese President Hu Jintao signed new economic agreements in Beijing on trade and investment, while agreeing to strengthen triangular cooperation with Pakistan, which traditionally has had close ties to China.

The March 24 agreements reportedly cover China’s investments in Afghanistan’s hydroelectric, mining, railway, construction, and energy projects.

China is already the largest investor in the Afghan economy. Its Metallurgical Group Corporation won a bid in 2007 to invest $3.5 billion in Afghanistan’s Aynak copper mine –one of the largest in the world [12].

And another prize plum is the possibility for Chinese companies to develop Afghanistan’s estimated 1.6 billion barrels of oil and 440 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas, as well as large deposits of ferrous and non-ferrous metals, iron ore and gold [13].

For China, both Afghanistan and Pakistan are part of its key transportation and trade links to Iran. Beijing has completed a port at Gwadar in Pakistan, allowing it to import 60 percent of its oil coming from the Middle East. China now plans to connect the Gwadar Port with Xinjiang through Afghanistan to secure a more efficient delivery of energy resources to fuel its booming economy. Stability in Kyrgyzstan is essential to China in this broader context [14].

In our next part we examine the essential geopolitical importance of Kyrgyzstan for Russia, the second geopolitical player in the new three-dimensional chess game for control of Eurasia’s land space and its economic and political future. (full long text and Notes 1 – 14).

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